Rental sell-offs slow down Dutch house price growth — What to expect in 2025?
Rental property sell-offs are slowing the rise in Dutch home prices. In October, prices were up 6.6% year-on-year, according to CBS. Learn what this trend means for buyers, expats, and investors in the Netherlands.
HOUSING
The Dutch housing market remains highly dynamic, but house price growth is clearly slowing.
New figures from the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) show that existing property prices rose by 6.6% in October compared to the year before — marking the seventh consecutive month of weaker growth.
Behind this shift lies a major structural change: many private landlords are selling their rental properties, altering the market balance. This trend is reshaping housing opportunities for Dutch buyers and for the growing expat community.
📊 Prices are still rising — but more slowly
The average selling price of an existing home reached €498,996 in October (CBS & Land Registry data).
Although still increasing, the pace of growth has eased compared to:+7% in September
+10%+ earlier this spring
Month-on-month, prices rose only 0.5%, confirming a gradual cooling after the intense spike of recent years.
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✔ Expat buyers entering the Dutch housing market
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📈 From peak to correction — and back up again
Dutch home prices reached a historic peak in July 2022, followed by a period of decline.
Since June 2023, the market has rebounded, and as of October 2025, prices remain 14.5% higher than at the 2022 peak.Demand continues to be fueled by:
population growth
strong urban labor markets
sustained international migration
relatively favorable mortgage conditions (despite ECB rate hikes)
🏘️ Rental sell-offs are reshaping the market
According to CBS, the slower rise in prices is largely due to the surge of former rental properties entering the owner-occupied market.
Why are small landlords selling?
New mid-market rent regulation limits rental yields
Tax reforms have reduced investment returns
Higher maintenance and energy-efficiency requirements
As a result, many landlords now see selling as more profitable than renting — especially at today’s high property valuations.
Because these homes tend to be smaller apartments, they temporarily boost supply and help limit price increases.
📈 A rise in housing transactions
In October, 21,849 homes changed ownership, a 20.5% increase year-on-year.
During the first ten months of 2025, over 193,000 transactions were completed — +17% annually.
This confirms a very active Dutch housing market, particularly in cities like Amsterdam, Utrecht, Rotterdam, and Eindhoven.
🌍 What does this mean for expats and foreign investors?
This rebalancing of the market opens new opportunities for first-time buyers and expats:
More affordable entry-level homes hitting the market
Opportunities to purchase in dynamic areas previously inaccessible
Better chances to negotiate compared to 2021–2022
However :
Mortgage approvals remain strict for non-residents
The points system (puntentelling) continues to designate which homes are regulated or not
Not all municipalities value foreign buyer profiles equally
Good advice remains essential before investing.
🧭 Market outlook for 2025
Economists from leading Dutch banks anticipate moderate price growth of around:
📌 +3% to +5% over the next year
Major drivers shaping the future:
Facteur Tendance Rent regulation keeps pressure on landlord yields strong housing demand still rising in the Randstad Limited new-build supply keeps long-term prices high strategic sale of rental stock stabilizes short-term price peaks.
Conclusion: a transitional market where informed buyers can gain a real advantage.
Rental sell-offs are acting as a natural brake on Dutch house price inflation.
While real estate remains expensive in the Netherlands, buyers — including expatriates — currently benefit from a more balanced market and better opportunities to enter homeownership.
The market continues to evolve: less speculative, more regulated, but still very competitive.
Those who understand these shifts will be best positioned to secure their ideal property.


